Sunday, November 17, 2013

Correction Continues

The market continued its correction, dipping further by 1.4 pc. Let us try and examine the pros and cons of  the market movement.

1. The markets are correcting gently, about 4 pc from the Diwali top. This could just be a bull market correction, looking at the slow nature of the fall.

2. The FIIs have been net buyers for all the trading sessions in November 2013. Only, when they start unloading will the markets have a major fall.

3. The major question is why are FIIs buying? It is not becuase of Narendra Modi but the continued avaailability of easy money thaks to Quantitiave easing. The battle is to attract money to India.

4. Jaet Yellen will take over from Ben Bernanke in Januarary and her statements indicate the divish stace of hers. If that happend then get ready for ovember to Februrary rally.

5. The markets have support around 5850 - 5900 levels.

6. The next major trigger for the markets is the State Election Results on December 8th. A BJP sweep (even if there is no material impact on 2014 elections) will lead to the markets zooming.

7. The Gilt yields continue to trade around the 9 pc mark. Only those with a long term view can stick to Gilts.

The markets are entering a quiet phase and it can be the lull before the proverbial storm. Buy on dips and stick to Quality stocks.

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